Interim modelling analysis to validate reported increases in condom use and assess HIV infections averted among female sex workers and clients in southern India following a targeted HIV prevention programme

Table 4

Number of fits per million runs for each hypothesis (H) (fits to round (R)1 data only are shown for comparison to validate time trends of the model in HIV prevalence)

	Mysore			Belgaum
	H₀: condom use fixed since 2004	H₁: condom use as reconstructed from IBBA round 2 data	H₂: condom use follows condom availability trends9	H₀: condom use fixed since 2004	H₁: condom use as reconstructed from IBBA round 2 data	H₂: condom use follows condom availability trends9
Fits to R1 FSW and client IBBAs	0	48.3	86	11.3	9.7	0
Fits to R1+R2 FSW and client IBBAs	0	36 (S)	82.7 (S)	9.7	8.3 (NS)	0 (S)

FSW, female sex worker; IBBA, integrated behavioural and biological assessments; NS, not statistically different to H₀ at the 5% level using χ² test; S, statistically significantly different to H₀.