Table 1

Incidence estimates (infections per 100 person years under independence between acquisition of infection and testing and testing expedited by behaviour)

Incidence-calculation methodPublic Health—Seattle & King County dataSimulated under independence between infection and testingSimulated under testing motivated by behaviour
Empirical cohort estimate1.1
Empirical STAHRS estimate1.7
Simulated cohort estimate1.21.2
Simulated STARHS estimate1.21.6

  • STARHS, serological testing algorithm for recent HIV seroconversion.