Distribution of 1-year incident infections by type of partnership, as predicted by the MOT and a fitted dynamical model
| Partnership type | Median % of incident infections attributable to partnership types (2.5 and 97.5 percentiles) | ||||||
| MOT (prior inputs) | MOT (posterior inputs) | Dynamical model | |||||
| Mysore | Belgaum | Mysore | Belgaum | Mysore | Belgaum | ||
| Females | Commercial | 6.5 (2.4, 14.9) | 5.1 (1.9, 12.2) | 7.0 (3.3, 13.0) | 4.5 (2.0, 8.8) | 28.4 (18.6, 35.5) | 11.7 (5.7, 15.0) |
| Main partnerships of FSWs/Clients | 71.7 (50.4, 88.7) | 74.2 (48.6, 90.9) | 75.6 (61.0, 87.8) | 73.0 (55.4, 84.9) | 70.5 (63.6, 80.3) | 86.9 (83.5, 92.9) | |
| Casual partnerships of FSWs/Clients | 0.03 (0.01, 0.09) | 0.01 (0.003, 0.04) | 0.02 (0.01, 0.07) | 0.01 (0.004, 0.04) | 0.30 (0.25, 0.38) | 0.31 (0.23, 0.38) | |
| Low-risk | 20.0 (4.6, 40.7) | 19.4 (4.3, 44.3) | 15.8 (7.1, 29.3) | 21.8 (10.9, 38.7) | 0.76 (0.31, 1.1) | 1.0 (0.61, 1.4) | |
| Males | Commercial | 70.6 (21.4, 92.6) | 66.2 (14.3, 92.8) | 66.0 (40.6, 81.1) | 69.1 (41.7, 84.3) | 91.2 (90.8, 95.6) | 90.7 (88.4, 96.1) |
| Main partnerships of FSWs/Clients | 9.8 (3.4, 21.3) | 10.8 (3.6, 20.9) | 11.3 (6.1, 20.2) | 9.6 (4.2, 19.5) | 6.3 (3.4, 8.1) | 7.3 (2.9, 9.2) | |
| Casual partnerships of FSWs/Clients | 2.0 (0.5, 4.0) | 4.5 (1.2, 9.9) | 1.7 (0.66, 3.7) | 3.8 (1.3, 8.3) | 0.5 (0.3, 0.6) | 0.87 (0.51, 1.2) | |
| Low-risk | 15.6 (2.8, 58.5) | 13.0 (1.6, 65.8) | 19.7 (10.0, 36.9) | 14.9 (6.0, 35.4) | 0.6 (0.3, 0.9) | 1.0 (0.37, 1.4) | |
FSW, female sex worker; MOT, Modes of Transmission.