Table 2

Analysis of HIV prevalence data from young women aged 15–24 years attending ANC using sites that were consistently included in surveillance over time

Region	Country		Period of assessment^*		Predicted prevalence^†		% Change in predicted prevalence from first to last year of assessment period	p Value
Region	Country		First year	Last year	First year	Last year		p Value
East Africa	Burundi	Urban	2000	2007	9.9	5.0	49.2	0.065
	Burundi	Rural	2000	2007	1.8	1.7	5.2	0.928
	Ethiopia	Urban	2001	2005	13.2	6.0	54.5	<0.001
	Ethiopia	Rural	2001	2005	2.7	1.7	35.0	0.347
	Kenya	Urban	2000	2005	14.2	5.4	62.2	<0.001
	Kenya	Rural	2000	2005	9.2	3.6	61.0	0.001
	Tanzania	Urban	2002	2006	8.0	6.8	15.5	0.204
	Tanzania	Rural	2002	2006	3.5	4.2	−17.9	0.487
	Rwanda	Urban	2002	2007	5.5	4.1	26.2	0.199
	Rwanda	Rural	2002	2007	2.3	1.9	14.2	0.517
	Uganda	Urban	2000	2007	6.1	7.6	−23.3	0.183
	Uganda	Rural	2000	2007	3.4	3.9	−15.7	0.581
Southern Africa	Botswana	Urban	2001	2006	32.9	24.8	24.8	0.003
	Botswana	Rural	2001	2006	33.6	23.6	29.9	<0.001
	Lesotho	Urban	2003	2007	25.8	24.7	4.0	0.704
	Lesotho	Rural	2003	2007	21.1	14.3	32.3	0.090
	Malawi	Urban	1999	2007	27.6	12.2	55.8	<0.001
	Malawi	Rural	1999	2007	8.2	10.1	−22.6	0.443
	Mozambique	South	2001	2007	12.9	17.1	−32.2	0.166
		Central	2001	2007	15.9	15.2	4.6	0.774
		North	2001	2007	7.3	8.1	−10.9	0.588
	Namibia	Urban	2002	2008	16.9	10.6	37.1	0.007
	Namibia	Rural	2002	2008	16.4	8.5	48.0	<0.001
	South Africa	National	2000	2007	20.5	20.4	0.3	0.983
	Swaziland	Urban	2002	2008	40.8	33.9	16.9	0.058
	Swaziland	Rural	2002	2008	36.6	34.7	5.1	0.600
	Zambia	Urban	2002	2006	24.5	23.2	5.6	0.545
	Zambia	Rural	2002	2006	11.2	9.3	17.3	0.301
	Zimbabwe	Urban	2000	2006	28.9	16.4	43.1	<0.001
		Rural	2000	2006	23.4	15.9	31.7	0.044
		Other	2000	2006	31.9	20.2	36.8	0.001
Central Africa	Angola	National	2004	2007	1.8	2.2	−21.2	0.440
West Africa	Cote d'Ivoire	Urban	2000	2008	9.1	4.9	56.0	<0.001
	Cote d'Ivoire	Rural	2001	2008	5.0	3.3	34.8	0.028
	Nigeria	Urban	2003	2008	4.4	3.7	15.2	0.151
	Nigeria	Rural	2003	2008	4.8	3.5	27.4	0.110
	Togo	Urban	2003	2008	3.8	3.7	3.9	0.872
	Togo	Rural	2003	2008	2.7	2.2	18.8	0.576
Caribbean	Bahamas	Urban	2000	2008	2.0	1.2	37.1	0.090
	Haiti	Urban	2000	2007	4.7	2.6	44.6	0.061
	Haiti	Rural	2000	2007	2.3	3.8	−67.2	0.080

↵* The period of assessment indicates the period for which country-specific surveillance data were available between 2000 and 2008.
↵† Predicted prevalence from regression analysis.
ANC, antenatal clinic.