Table 1

Overview of the HIV epidemic in western, central, eastern and southern regions of sub-Saharan Africa

Sub-regional country examplesEstimated number of adults (15+ years) living with HIV in 2009Prevalence among adults (15–49 years) in 2009Annual incidence among adults (15–49 years) in 2009Annual incidence among adults (15–49 years) in 2001Trend in incidence
N (95% CI)Percentage (95% CI)Incidence (95% CI)Incidence (95% CI)
West Africa
 Côte d'Ivoire380 000 (340 000 to 440 000)3.4 (3.1 to 3.8)0.11 (<0.10 to 0.20)0.39 (0.30 to 0.51)Decrease
 Nigeria2 900 000 (2 600 000 to 3 200 000)3.6 (3.3 to 4.0)0.38 (0.33 to 0.44)0.39 (0.33 to 0.47)Stable
 Senegal54 000 (46 000 to 63 000)0.9 (0.7 to 1.0)<0.10 (<0.10 to 0.11)0.10 (<0.10 to 0.12)Stable
Central Africa
 Cameroon550 000 (500 000 to 610 000)5.3 (4.9 to 5.8)0.53 (0.43 to 0.61)0.59 (0.50 to 0.69)Stable
 Central African Republic110 000 (98 000 to 120 000)4.7 (4.2 to 5.2)0.17 (<0.1 to 0.25)0.56 (0.43 to 0.69)Decrease
 Republic of Congo69 000 (61 000 to 78 000)3.4 (3.1 to 3.8)0.28 (0.23 to 0.35)0.43 (0.36 to 0.51)Decrease
Eastern Africa
 Kenya1 300 000 (1 200 000 to 1 400 000)6.3 (5.8 to 6.5)0.53 (0.34 to 0.70)0.55 (0.38 to 0.76)Stable
 United Republic of Tanzania1 200 000 (1 100 000 to 1 400 000)5.6 (5.3 to 6.1)0.45 (0.34 to 0.57)0.64 (0.55 to 0.76)Decrease
 Uganda1 000 000 (940 000 to 1 100 000)6.5 (5.9 to 6.9)0.74 (0.62 to 0.85)0.71 (0.61 to 0.82)Stable
Southern Africa
 South Africa5 300 000 (5 100 000 to 5 500 000)17.8 (17.2 to 18.3)1.49 (1.27 to 1.76)2.35 (2.14 to 2.60)Decrease
 Swaziland170 000 (160 000 to 180 000)25.9 (24.9 to 27.0)2.66 (2.19 to 3.14)4.07 (3.72 to 4.46)Decrease
 Zimbabwe1 000 000 (950 000 to 1 200 000)14.3 (13.4 to 15.4)0.84 (0.54 to 1.19)1.94 (1.62 to 2.36)Decrease
  • This table has utilised data presented in the UNAIDS report on the global AIDS epidemic 2010.1 To calculate the adult HIV incidence, the estimated number of adults (15–49 years) newly infected with HIV in 2009 was divided by the 2009 adult population (15–49 years) not infected at the start of 2009 and similarly for 2001.