Table 3

Behavioural and sociodemographic associations with incident HSV-2 or syphilis infection in women (n=4358)

HSV-2Syphilis
Variable% Seroconversions
(N)*
 Univariate
associations
IRR (95% CI)
Combined multivariate
model adjusted
IRR (95% CI)
Percentage
positive (N)
 Univariate
associations
IRR (95% CI)
Combined multivariate
model adjusted
IRR (95% CI)
Overall16.10 (3969)1.56 (4304)
Sociodemographics
Age at baseline (years)
 15–196.61 (666)1.001.000.43 (690)1.001.00
 20–2412.20 (746)1.90 (1.33 to 2.73)1.46 (1.01 to 2.11)0.77 (780)1.77 (0.44 to 7.09)1.52 (0.38 to 6.18)
 25–2912.93 (665)2.03 (1.41 to 2.92)1.52 (1.04 to 2.21)1.11 (718)2.58 (0.68 to 9.73)2.22 (0.60 to 8.33)
 30–3417.90 (553)2.88 (2.02 to 4.11)2.02 (1.39 to 2.92)1.94 (620)4.49 (1.27 to 15.92)3.31 (0.92 to 11.83)
 35–3922.37 (541)3.70 (2.62 to 5.22)2.52 (1.75 to 3.64)2.43 (617)5.66 (1.64 to 19.56)3.83 (1.09 to 13.48)
 40–4425.91 (467)4.37 (3.10 to 6.16)3.02 (2.09 to 4.37)2.72 (514)6.34 (1.82 to 22.08)4.44 (1.26 to 15.62)
 45–4923.26 (331)3.87 (2.67 to 5.60)2.74 (1.85 to 4.07)2.47 (365)5.75 (1.56 to 21.25)4.33 (1.18 to 15.94)
Place of residence
 Urban11.41 (1771)1.001.001.39 (2012)1.00
 Rural19.88 (2198)1.82 (1.54 to 2.14)1.45 (1.21 to 1.72)1.70 (2292)1.22 (0.75 to 1.98)
Standard of living index
 0–1621.05 (1045)1.001.002.03 (1134)1.00
 17–2216.73 (1034)0.78 (0.64 to 0.95)0.86 (0.70 to 1.05)2.14 (1122)1.06 (0.60 to 1.88)
 23–2914.19 (1001)0.65 (0.53 to 0.80)0.79 (0.63 to 0.98)1.09 (1096)0.54 (0.27 to 1.09)
 30–5411.70 (889)0.53 (0.42 to 0.67)0.74 (0.57 to 0.96)0.84 (952)0.42 (0.19 to 0.93)
Education†
 None21.33 (1791)1.001.002.50 (1957)1.001.00
 Any schooling0.77 (2347)0.30 (0.18 to 0.52)0.40 (0.23 to 0.70)
 Class 1–1013.28 (1800)0.59 (0.50 to 0.70)0.86 (0.71 to 1.03)0.77 (1952)
 Class 11–124.89 (184)0.21 (0.11 to 0.41)0.45 (0.23 to 0.90)1.06 (189)
 Technical school/college4.64 (194)0.20 (0.10 to 0.38)0.44 (0.22 to 0.88)0.49 (206)
Occupation
 Other15.83 (3916)1.001.001.51 (4243)1.00
 Field related35.85 (53)2.54 (1.63 to 3.97)1.84 (1.12 to 3.02)4.92 (61)3.21 (1.04 to 10.57)
Religion‡
 Hindu15.90 (2554)1.001.001.62 (2774)1.00
 Muslim9.53 (577)0.58 (0.44 to 0.77)0.60 (0.45 to 0.80)1.45 (622)0.89 (0.44 to 1.83)
 Christian21.34 (834)1.37 (1.15 to 1.64)1.23 (1.03 to 1.48)1.44 (904)0.88 (0.47 to 1.63)
 Other0 (4)0 (4)
Marital status
 Never married2.53 (356)1.001.000 (367)
 Currently marred16.30 (3288)6.98 (3.61 to 13.48)2.86 (1.42 to 5.77)1.64 (3542)1.00
 Previously married38.92 (325)13.28 (6.71 to 26.28)4.35 (2.07 to 9.14)2.28 (395)1.40 (0.69 to 2.82)
Health behaviour
History of tattoo
 No15.80 (3356)1.001.001.43 (3627)1.00
 Yes21.70 (613)1.51 (1.25 to 1.82)0.98 (0.80 to 1.20)2.22 (677)1.57 (0.88 to 2.78)
Chew or smoke tobacco
 Never16.01 (3847)1.001.44 (4170)1.001.00
 Ever18.85 (122)1.21 (0.80 to 1.83)5.22 (134)3.74 (1.71 to 8.17)1.83 (0.79 to 4.22)
Sexual behaviour
Lifetime male sex partners§¶
 02.77 (325)1.000 (335)1.001.00
 116.04 (3242)6.25 (3.23 to 12.08)1.54 (3516)
 >130.28 (317)12.68 (6.41 to 25.09)3.05 (361)2.15 (1.12 to 4.09)1.64 (0.85 to 3.18)
Syphilis/HSV-2 serostatus
 Negative15.99 (3940)1.001.001.47 (3940)1.00
 Positive31.03 (29)2.10 (1.10 to 4.01)1.27 (0.61 to 2.65)2.47 (364)1.69 (0.84 to 3.40)
HSV-2/syphilis-positive spouse**
 No15.28 (3847)1.001.001.46 (4236)1.001.00
 Yes41.80 (122)3.19 (2.42 to 4.21)3.27 (2.46 to 4.35)7.35 (68)5.18 (2.08 to 12.88)5.94 (2.28 to 15.47)
  • *Seroconversion from negative to positive over study duration.

  • †Educational status dichotomised to any schooling versus no education for syphilis. 0 woman with technical school or college had incident infection.

  • ‡For religion ‘other’ category excluded from regressions because of sample size.

  • §Lifetime male sex partners dichotomised to multiple versus 0 or 1. 0 woman who reported never having sex at baseline had syphilis.

  • ¶Lifetime male sex partners excluded from final model because of collinearity with marital status.

  • **HSV-2-positive spouse included in HSV-2 model and syphilis-positive spouse included in syphilis model.

  • HSV-2, herpes simplex virus-2; IRR, incident rate ratio; N, total number of people (positive and negative) in category.