The Spectrum projection package: improvements in estimating mortality, ART needs, PMTCT impact and uncertainty bounds

J Stover; P Johnson; B Zaba; M Zwahlen; F Dabis; R E Ekpini

doi:10.1136/sti.2008.029868

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The Spectrum projection package: improvements in estimating mortality, ART needs, PMTCT impact and uncertainty bounds

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	Abstract	Full	Pdf
Jul 2008	14	21	31
Aug 2008	28	68	141
Sep 2008	27	72	70
Oct 2008	24	69	35
Nov 2008	29	46	22
Dec 2008	12	28	21
Jan 2009	6	33	19
Feb 2009	12	36	28
Mar 2009	18	63	31
Apr 2009	23	62	29
May 2009	14	60	15
Jun 2009	12	60	19
Jul 2009	11	63	24
Aug 2009	6	32	16
Sep 2009	6	59	16
Oct 2009	12	54	27
Nov 2009	15	67	13
Dec 2009	20	40	23
Jan 2010	14	48	18
Feb 2010	14	48	29
Mar 2010	24	54	24
Apr 2010	10	51	26
May 2010	14	66	16
Jun 2010	3	73	39
Jul 2010	11	56	34
Aug 2010	8	54	19
Sep 2010	29	77	19
Oct 2010	5	68	12
Nov 2010	10	80	15
Dec 2010	10	42	7
Jan 2011	15	50	17
Feb 2011	15	80	18
Mar 2011	22	82	18
Apr 2011	20	46	20
May 2011	25	57	14
Jun 2011	15	37	12
Jul 2011	36	28	18
Aug 2011	36	26	26
Sep 2011	20	27	7
Oct 2011	13	28	7
Nov 2011	29	42	14
Dec 2011	49	40	10
Jan 2012	26	41	14
Feb 2012	29	30	16
Mar 2012	55	39	11
Apr 2012	49	43	7
May 2012	47	44	17
Jun 2012	38	32	20
Jul 2012	33	35	26
Aug 2012	31	28	8
Sep 2012	37	29	11
Oct 2012	37	35	12
Nov 2012	38	41	10
Dec 2012	51	15	12
Jan 2013	75	23	8
Feb 2013	83	12	6
Mar 2013	195	18	20
Apr 2013	60	21	8
May 2013	47	28	8
Jun 2013	30	9	5
Jul 2013	52	14	6
Aug 2013	39	4	6
Sep 2013	22	13	4
Oct 2013	32	18	5
Nov 2013	48	15	8
Dec 2013	34	5	5
Jan 2014	38	7	6
Feb 2014	35	14	9
Mar 2014	52	17	2
Apr 2014	43	12	7
May 2014	37	25	13
Jun 2014	20	15	2
Jul 2014	40	8	4
Aug 2014	54	16	12
Sep 2014	43	12	10
Oct 2014	63	21	8
Nov 2014	42	19	6
Dec 2014	19	12	7
Jan 2015	28	6	4
Feb 2015	25	14	10
Mar 2015	48	34	5
Apr 2015	28	9	6
May 2015	16	10	1
Jun 2015	35	8	5
Jul 2015	20	10	5
Aug 2015	18	5	5
Sep 2015	42	3	4
Oct 2015	34	7	0
Nov 2015	55	3	6
Dec 2015	64	24	13
Jan 2016	71	23	3
Feb 2016	45	10	4
Mar 2016	33	3	13
Apr 2016	34	3	12
May 2016	39	17	10
Jun 2016	24	13	5
Jul 2016	22	9	7
Aug 2016	25	6	2
Sep 2016	45	15	10
Oct 2016	60	12	10
Nov 2016	56	8	1
Dec 2016	10	69	1
Jan 2017	24	16	5
Feb 2017	18	23	5
Mar 2017	15	27	2
Apr 2017	13	43	2
May 2017	14	39	0
Jun 2017	16	38	8
Jul 2017	45	37	5
Aug 2017	38	34	2
Sep 2017	58	43	4
Oct 2017	56	44	3
Nov 2017	128	116	6
Dec 2017	163	151	2
Jan 2018	222	210	1
Feb 2018	158	148	3
Mar 2018	248	205	4
Apr 2018	145	132	7
May 2018	166	141	3
Jun 2018	90	86	1
Jul 2018	55	53	2
Aug 2018	107	99	12
Sep 2018	92	84	8
Oct 2018	134	128	11
Nov 2018	140	131	11
Dec 2018	137	137	5
Jan 2019	114	101	6
Feb 2019	141	112	19
Mar 2019	85	64	28
Apr 2019	27	15	16
May 2019	32	18	5
Jun 2019	24	20	6
Jul 2019	26	24	5
Aug 2019	25	21	5
Sep 2019	12	12	3
Oct 2019	18	12	9
Nov 2019	24	18	5
Dec 2019	29	24	9
Jan 2020	22	12	8
Feb 2020	19	13	6
Mar 2020	29	25	8
Apr 2020	29	21	3
May 2020	19	11	3
Jun 2020	14	14	2
Jul 2020	19	11	12
Aug 2020	33	23	6
Sep 2020	44	20	17
Oct 2020	54	36	10
Nov 2020	39	25	15
Dec 2020	21	13	5
Jan 2021	34	19	10
Feb 2021	25	15	5
Mar 2021	36	26	10
Apr 2021	23	15	6
May 2021	20	20	6
Jun 2021	30	30	29
Jul 2021	22	22	11
Aug 2021	27	27	7
Sep 2021	26	27	7
Oct 2021	32	19	19
Nov 2021	32	22	20
Dec 2021	27	26	7
Jan 2022	29	22	12
Feb 2022	33	26	4
Mar 2022	43	22	13
Apr 2022	38	27	7
May 2022	41	35	8
Jun 2022	42	36	10
Jul 2022	24	23	4
Aug 2022	49	39	6
Sep 2022	42	38	9
Oct 2022	46	38	8
Nov 2022	37	29	4
Dec 2022	29	23	1
Jan 2023	50	42	6
Feb 2023	107	105	3
Mar 2023	25	20	4
Apr 2023	22	19	4
May 2023	27	17	9
Jun 2023	47	27	1
Jul 2023	34	30	7
Aug 2023	72	64	6
Sep 2023	27	17	4
Oct 2023	74	61	4
Total	7740	7142	2094

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