RT Journal Article
SR Electronic
T1 The UNAIDS Estimation and Projection Package: a software package to estimate and project national HIV epidemics
JF Sexually Transmitted Infections
JO Sex Transm Infect
FD BMJ Publishing Group Ltd
SP i5
OP i9
DO 10.1136/sti.2004.010199
VO 80
IS suppl 1
A1 P D Ghys
A1 T Brown
A1 N C Grassly
A1 G Garnett
A1 K A Stanecki
A1 J Stover
A1 N Walker
YR 2004
UL http://sti.bmj.com/content/80/suppl_1/i5.abstract
AB This paper describes the Estimation and Projection Package (EPP) for estimating and projecting HIV prevalence levels in countries with generalised epidemics. The paper gives an overall summary of the software and interface. It describes the process of defining and modelling a national epidemic in terms of locally relevant sub-epidemics and the four epidemiological parameters used to fit a curve to produce the prevalence trends in the epidemic. It also provides an example of using the EPP in a country with a generalised epidemic. The paper discusses the strengths and weaknesses of the software and its envisaged future developments.