Table 3

Cox regression models examining the risk of HIV seroconversion associated with living in communities with various levels of risk characteristics, Kisesa, 1996–7 (n=3808)

Model AModel BModel CModel D
Risk ratiop ValueRisk ratiop ValueRisk ratiop ValueRisk ratiop Value
Sex
    Female1.001.001.001.00
    Male1.100.71.040.91.080.81.050.8
Age (years)
    14–191.001.001.001.00
    20–242.620.0052.590.002.630.0052.570.006
    25–292.150.072.230.062.170.062.200.06
    30–342.280.042.350.042.300.042.340.04
    ≥352.420.0072.50.0042.440.0052.450.005
Marital status
    Never married1.001.001.001.00
    Monogamous0.900.80.870.80.880.80.880.8
    Polygamous1.490.41.400.51.450.51.400.5
    Widow/divorced/separated4.230.0064.040.0084.120.0074.140.007
Type of subvillage re: social/economic activity
    Rural sparse or rural small1.00
    Peritrading centre1.260.6
    Trading centre2.070.1
Ratio of bar workers in subvillage to total male population (18–59) of Kisesa ward
    Low1.00
    Moderate1.440.4
    High1.620.4
Mobility of subvillage population: proportion of people in current household <5 years
    Low (<10%)1.00
    Moderate (11–19%)1.270.5
    High (≥20%)2.240.09
Distance to the nearest town (Mwanza)
    Far (≥11 km)1.00
    Moderate (5–10 km)1.470.3
    Close (<5 km)1.780.2