Table 4

Risk factors for incident syphilis infections*

Univariate analysis‡
No†ObsPyRateRRp Value
*Included in analysis are those people with at least two syphilis tests during the study period, and who are considered to have been uninfected with syphilis during the study period.
†No = the number of people (sums to 935 for all variables except “gonorrhoea” and “syphilis” for which subjects can contribute to more that one level); Obs = number of incident infections; Py = person years of follow up; rate = incident rate per 100 person years.
‡In univariate analysis each variable is fitted separately. p Values in parentheses are overall test for heterogeneity.
§Prevalent infection is at first test during study period. Incident infections are up to 7 days before date of relevant incident chlamydia infection during study period. Levels are hierarchical: “no test,” “no,” “prevalent,” “incident” (a person contributes only to relevant levels).
Sex
Male4227626.91.121.0
Female51310852.01.171.050.919
Age (years) at first incident chlamydia
25+4063618.10.491.0
20–242226350.21.713.530.074
15–191926316.91.893.900.054
12–141152193.61.032.130.408 (0.230)
Time
<June 199790512799.41.501.0
≥June 19978305679.40.740.490.180
Resident status
Permanent864161385.01.161.0
Removed71193.91.070.920.937
Marital status
Never married2786456.21.321.0
1+ wives55810876.31.140.870.783
Widow/past671104.40.960.730.769 (0.989)
Not known32041.90
Alcohol
No abuse56412923.71.301.0
Abuse3234488.90.820.630.423
Not known48166.31.511.160.886 (0.702)
Petrol sniffing
Never746121173.01.021.0
Male ever occasional32148.72.052.010.503
Male ever regular1032164.21.221.190.819
Female ever occasional27245.84.374.270.057 (0.428)
Female ever regular27047.10
Gonorrhoea§ in study period
No74891015.80.891.0
Prevalent1353168.51.782.010.295
Incident2225220.32.272.560.092 (0.367)
No test139074.20
Chlamydia§ in study period
No793131117.61.161.0
Prevalent941122.80.810.700.731
Incident1803175.21.711.470.546 (0.910)
No test100063.30
Syphilis in 91–95
No656131048.51.241.0
Prevalent infection1041160.70.620.500.507
Incident infection913149.32.011.620.451 (0.767)
No test840120.40