Table 2

Prediction of laparoscopically diagnosed PID: sensitivity and specificity of signs and symptoms, likelihood ratios and post-test probabilities (pretest probability = 79%)

Signs and symptomsSensitivity (%)Specificity (%)Laparoscopically diagnosed PIDLikelihood ratio* (positive)Post-test probability
(95% CI)(95% CI)Present (n = 494)Absent (n = 129)
No (%)No (%)
*Likelihood ratio interpretation: >10 and <0.1 (large difference between pretest and post-test probability), 5–10 and 0.1–0.2 (moderate), 2–5 and 0.5–0.2 (small), 1–2 and 0.05–1 (small and rarely important).14
Vaginal discharge74 (69.99 to 77.90)24 (16.95 to 32.34)366 (74)98 (76)0.980.79
Fever47 (42.49 to 51.47)64 (55.43 to 72.58)234 (47)47 (36)1.300.83
Vomiting14 (11.03 to 17.34)88 (81.55 to 93.34)68 (14)16 (12)1.110.81
Menstrual irregularity45 (40.49 to 49.45)57 (48.36 to 66.03)223 (45)56 (43)1.040.80
Ongoing bleeding25 (21.34 to 29.17)77 (68.49 to 83.73)124 (25)29 (22)1.120.81
Urinary symptoms35 (30.81 to 39.41)64 (55.43 to 72.58)173 (35)46 (36)0.980.79
Proctitis symptoms10 (7.43 to 12.90)92 (86.21 to 96.22)50 (10)10 (8)1.310.83
Tenderness of pelvic organs on bimanual examination99 (97.65 to 99.67)0.007 (<0.001 to 2.84)489 (99)128 (99)1.000.79
Palpable adnexal mass or swelling52 (47.52 to 56.51)70 (61.06 to 77.54)258 (52)39 (30)1.730.84
Erythrocyte sedimentation rate ⩾15 mm in 1st hour81 (77.23 to 84.34)33 (25.28 to 42.17)402 (81)86 (66)1.220.82