Table 2

 Ranges for key inputs in spectrum

InputMeanRange
Median time in years from infection to AIDS death for males8.67.4–9.8
Median time in years from infection to AIDS death for females9.48.2–10.6
Cumulative mortality in HIV+ children
    2 years0.480.30–0.55
    5 years0.600.41–0.55
    10 years0.820.62–1.00
    15 years1.000.74–1.00
Ratio of prevalence for 15–19 to 25–29 for males0.190.05–0.31
Ratio of prevalence for 20–24 to 25–29 for males0.300.05–0.62
Ratio of prevalence for 15–19 to 25–29 for females0.220.01–0.36
Ratio of prevalence for 20–24 to 25–29 for females0.630.53–0.72
MeanStandard deviation
Mother to child transmission rate with no prophylaxis0.350.05
Mother to child transmission rate with prophylaxis0.280.05
Ratio of fertility of HIV+ to HIV− women aged 15–191.50.20
Ratio of fertility of HIV+ to HIV− women aged 20–490.700.10
Percent of adults on ART surviving to the next year0.900.05
Percent of children on cotrimoxazole surviving to the next year0.910.05
Percent of children on antiretroviral treatment surviving to the next year0.900.05