Table 1 HIV prevalence estimates from population-based surveys and from EPP curves fitted to antenatal clinic (ANC) data
RegionCountryYear of surveyType of surveyNational adult HIV prevalenceUrbanRural
Survey HIV prevANC based HIV prevRatio survey: ANCProbit diffSurvey HIV prevANC based HIV prevRatio survey: ANCProbit diff
Southern AfricaLesotho2004DHS23.529.132.30.901−0.09121.924.30.901−0.079
Southern AfricaMalawi2004DHS12.718.318.40.995−0.00411.312.80.883−0.075
Southern AfricaZambia2002DHS15.623.126.30.878−0.10110.812.70.850−0.097
Southern AfricaZimbabwe2005DHS18.118.921.90.863−0.10617.618.80.936−0.045
East AfricaBurundi2002Household survey233.69.411.80.797−0.1312.52.51.0000.000
East AfricaEthiopia2005DHS1.65.610.50.533−0.3360.71.90.368−0.382
East AfricaKenya2003DHS6.710.011.00.909−0.0555.68.60.651−0.224
East AfricaRwanda2004DHS3.07.35.91.2370.1092.22.70.815−0.087
East AfricaTanzania2004AIS7.010.911.20.973−0.0165.35.50.964−0.018
East AfricaUganda2004Sero-behavioural survey246.410.19.21.0980.0535.74.31.3260.136
West/Central AfricaBenin2006DHS1.21.71.90.895−0.0450.91.20.750−0.109
West/Central AfricaBurkina Faso2003DHS1.83.63.90.923−0.0371.31.60.813−0.082
West/Central AfricaCameroon2004DHS5.56.78.30.807−0.1134.06.80.588−0.260
West/Central AfricaCentral African Republic2006DHS6.28.313.40.619−0.2774.715.40.305−0.655
West/Central AfricaChad2005Household survey253.37.04.91.4290.1792.32.80.821−0.084
West/Central AfricaCote d’Ivoire2005AIS4.75.46.70.806−0.1094.14.60.891−0.054
West/Central AfricaEquatorial Guinea2004Household survey263.23.33.11.0650.0283.1
West/Central AfricaGhana2003DHS2.22.33.50.657−0.1832.03.30.606−0.215
West/Central AfricaGuinea2005DHS1.52.45.00.485−0.3281.03.20.313−0.474
West/Central AfricaLiberia2007DHS1.52.54.80.521−0.2950.8
West/Central AfricaMali2001DHS1.72.23.60.611−0.2151.52.60.577−0.227
West/Central AfricaNiger2002Household survey270.92.12.50.840−0.0740.61.30.462−0.286
West/Central AfricaSenegal2005DHS0.70.71.50.467−0.2870.71.40.500−0.260
West/Central AfricaSierra Leone2005Household survey281.52.14.20.500−0.3061.3
CaribbeanDominican Republic2002DHS1.00.92.00.462−0.3011.2
CaribbeanHaiti2005DHS2.22.35.10.451−0.3602.02.30.870−0.058
Median0.824−0.1070.814−0.092
Mean0.797−0.1310.736−0.165
SEM0.0500.0300.0540.038
SD0.2570.1480.2520.175