Table 1 Number of HIV-positive births averted per year by current contraceptive use, by PEPFAR country
PEPFAR countryContraceptive prevalence rate, all methods, all women (year)47No of women aged 15–49 years (2007)8No of unintended pregnancies averted by current contraceptive use*Adults (15–49 years) HIV prevalence rate (2005)11 12Annual no of unintended pregnancies averted to HIV+ women†Annual no of unintended HIV+ births currently averted by contraception‡
Botswana40 (2003)§4778085770724.113,9074172
Mozambique25.6 (2003)482976438085116.16131718395
Namibia29 (2003)§5136445257719.6103053092
South Africa50.6 (2003)¶12059789213220218.8400854120256
Zambia34 (2003)§265574125144117.04274512823
Ethiopia10.3 (2005)179571876313771.4**90922728
Kenya28.4 (2003)89999677972266.14863114589
Rwanda9.6 (2005)2444166602793.11869561
Tanzania22.5 (2004)92739616141156.53991711975
Uganda19.6 (2006)64760373767586.7252437573
Côte d’Ivoire15 (2003)§43862141380994.7**64911947
Nigeria13.3 (2003)3136516410626993.94144512434
Guyana37.3 (2000)§214993247842.4595178
Haiti22.9 (2005)20928911381782.2**3040912
Vietnam78 (2003)§2488901158844580.5294228827
  • *(Contraceptive prevalence rate (CPR) × number of women aged 15–49 × 40% pregnancy rate) – (CPR × number of women aged 15–49 × contraceptive failure rate).

  • †Calculated as number of pregnancies currently averted by contraceptive use × HIV prevalence.

  • ‡In the absence of antiretroviral prophylaxis, a 30% vertical transmission rate is assumed.16

  • §Most recent data not available in DHS and only available for women who are currently married or in union. Guyana source: United Nations Population Division, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, 2005.6 Botswana, Namibia, Zambia, Côte d’Ivoire and Vietnam source: International Conference on Population & Development, 2004.7

  • ¶Most recent data for South Africa from Department of Health and ORC Macro, 2004.5

  • **Ethiopia: HIV prevalence comes from Central Statistical Agency & ORC Macro, 2006 (only range available (0.9–3.5) from UNAIDS, 2007).11 13 Côte d’Ivoire: HIV prevalence comes from Institut National de la Statistique, Ministère de la Lutte contre le Sida and ORC Macro, 2006 because UNAIDS (2007) reports that analysis of trends among 15–24-year-olds suggest a 25% decrease in urban areas.11 14 Haiti: Used lower and more recent estimate from Cayemittes et al15 compared with UNAIDS.11