Table 3 Determinants of parents reported as deceased at round 1 being reported as alive at a later round, Manicaland census data (1998–2005)
DeterminantsMaternal orphansPaternal orphans
%NoOR (95% CI)p Value%NoOR (95% CI)p Value
Type of orphan
    Not a double orphan35.411310.63111.960710.002
    Double orphan32.1780.86 (0.47 to 1.59)24.7732.43 (1.35 to 4.39)
Sex of child
    Male child34.611010.68613.834710.709
    Female child31.8880.88 (0.47 to 1.61)12.93420.92 (0.59 to 1.43)
Age of child
    0–3 years47.62110.02519.07910.174
    4–7 years42.2190.80 (0.28 to 2.30)14.71910.73 (0.37 to 1.47)
    8–11 years32.7330.53 (0.20 to 1.40)12.83290.62 (0.33 to 1.20)
    12–15 years12.940.16 (0.04 to 0.71)7.8900.36 (0.14 to 0.95)
Poverty quintile
    1st (poorest)15.63210.13411.113510.736
    2nd41.2343.78 (1.10 to 12.97)11.91261.08 (0.50 to 2.32)
    3rd28.6562.16 (0.69 to 6.72)15.31761.45 (0.74 to 2.86)
    4th40.5373.68 (1.10 to 12.38)15.01271.41 (0.68 to 2.91)
    5th (richest)36.1363.05 (0.91 to 10.27)11.71201.06 (0.49 to 2.29)
Type of location
    Subsistence farming area22.39410.00914.132010.030
    Roadside trading settlement41.5412.46 (1.10 to 5.52)10.71680.73 (0.41 to 1.31)
    Agricultural estate48.9473.33 (1.52 to 7.28)19.41291.47 (0.86 to 2.52)
    Commercial centre31.3161.58 (0.49 to 5.10)5.6720.36 (0.12 to 1.04)
Checked birth certificate
    All three rounds31.13510.78710.315610.302
    At least one round36.51040.97 (0.44 to 2.16)14.34351.45 (0.81 to 2.61)
    No rounds30.3330.74 (0.27 to 2.04)13.2681.34 (0.56 to 3.12)