Table 2 Behavioural data used for parameterising the model with uncertainty ranges used for fitting algorithm
Behavioural parameters by main source of syringes (model scenarios for which data are used are given brackets)Variable used in Table A1Main source of needles/syringes is either pharmacy, shop, hospital, health worker (i = 0)Main source of needles/syringes is either found, IDU, drug dealer, friend, etc (i = 1)
Percentage of IDUs reporting their main source of syringes as [s1–4]Ai80.4% (75.4% to 84.8%)Remainder
Frequency of injecting per month [s1,2]Bi51.9 (48.1 to 55.7)93.3 (28.2 to 158.3)
Percentage of IDUs that ever share syringes [s1–4]Ci28.2% (22.5% to 34.3%)89.7% (78.8% to 96.1%)
For those that share:
Percentage of injections shared [s1,2]Di31.3% (20.9% to 39.9%)64.4% (49.3% to 72.4%)
Average number of IDUs share with per week [s1–4]Ei1.8 (1.5 to 2.1)3.9 (3.2 to 4.6)
Proportion of IDUs that they shared with that they had not shared with before (“stranger”) [s2–4]Fi5.1% (1.6% to 8.6%)24.1% (16.5% to 31.8%)
Percentage of IDUs that ever share syringes [s5]G41.1% (35.4% to 46.8%)
Percentage that reported sharing with “stranger” in last week [s5]H9.4% (6.3% to 13.3%)
Of these, the number of “strangers” that they shared with per month [s5]I7.3 (5.6 to 10.0)
Proportion of IDUs who cleaned their syringe the last time they shared [s1–5]79.3% (73.1% to 84.7%)
Duration IDUs inject drugs [s1–5]4–8 years (mean duration of current IDUs is 6 years)
Degree of like-with-like mixing between IDUs with different levels of syringe sharing or durations of injecting [s1–5]0–0.5 for both (no data)
  • IDU, intravenous drug user.

  • Ranges in brackets are 95% confidence intervals and all data are from the survey unless otherwise stated.