Table 2

Analysis of HIV prevalence data from young women aged 15–24 years attending ANC using sites that were consistently included in surveillance over time

RegionCountryPeriod of assessment*Predicted prevalence% Change in predicted prevalence from first to last year of assessment periodp Value
First yearLast yearFirst yearLast year
East AfricaBurundiUrban200020079.95.049.20.065
Rural200020071.81.75.20.928
EthiopiaUrban2001200513.26.054.5<0.001
Rural200120052.71.735.00.347
KenyaUrban2000200514.25.462.2<0.001
Rural200020059.23.661.00.001
TanzaniaUrban200220068.06.815.50.204
Rural200220063.54.2−17.90.487
RwandaUrban200220075.54.126.20.199
Rural200220072.31.914.20.517
UgandaUrban200020076.17.6−23.30.183
Rural200020073.43.9−15.70.581
Southern AfricaBotswanaUrban2001200632.924.824.80.003
Rural2001200633.623.629.9<0.001
LesothoUrban2003200725.824.74.00.704
Rural2003200721.114.332.30.090
MalawiUrban1999200727.612.255.8<0.001
Rural199920078.210.1−22.60.443
MozambiqueSouth2001200712.917.1−32.20.166
Central2001200715.915.24.60.774
North200120077.38.1−10.90.588
NamibiaUrban2002200816.910.637.10.007
Rural2002200816.48.548.0<0.001
South AfricaNational2000200720.520.40.30.983
SwazilandUrban2002200840.833.916.90.058
Rural2002200836.634.75.10.600
ZambiaUrban2002200624.523.25.60.545
Rural2002200611.29.317.30.301
ZimbabweUrban2000200628.916.443.1<0.001
Rural2000200623.415.931.70.044
Other2000200631.920.236.80.001
Central AfricaAngolaNational200420071.82.2−21.20.440
West AfricaCote d'IvoireUrban200020089.14.956.0<0.001
Rural200120085.03.334.80.028
NigeriaUrban200320084.43.715.20.151
Rural200320084.83.527.40.110
TogoUrban200320083.83.73.90.872
Rural200320082.72.218.80.576
CaribbeanBahamasUrban200020082.01.237.10.090
HaitiUrban200020074.72.644.60.061
Rural200020072.33.8−67.20.080
  • * The period of assessment indicates the period for which country-specific surveillance data were available between 2000 and 2008.

  • Predicted prevalence from regression analysis.

  • ANC, antenatal clinic.