Table 3

Last data year comparisons between the clinic-specific posterior median and the clinic data: coverage and width of 95% CI, mean absolute error (MAE) and mean error (ME).

Insample fitOut-of-sample projection
Classic EPPr-Trend modelClassic EPPr-Trend model
Coverage87.4%89.4%74.9%79.0%
Width0.0670.0650.1080.080
MAE0.0150.0130.0280.024
ME0.0020.0010.011−0.003
  • The results are evaluated only in the last data year.

  • EPP, Estimation and Projection Package.