Scenario | Strategy | Ct cases detected | False negative cases | False positive cases | Cases of PID expected | Cases of PID averted | Total cost ($) | Cost difference ($) | Cost/case of PID averted ($)* |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A† | POC | 873 | 67 | 136 | 66.4 | 14.0 | 711508 | −70706 | −5050 |
NAAT | 921 | 19 | 199 | 80.4 | – | 782214 | – | – | |
B‡ | POC | 873 | 67 | 136 | 60.0 | 20.4 | 545872 | −236342 | −11585 |
NAAT | 921 | 19 | 199 | 80.4 | – | 782214 | – | – | |
C§ | POC | 752 | 188 | 136 | 96.3 | – | 681507 | – | – |
NAAT | 921 | 19 | 199 | 80.4 | 15.9 | 782214 | +100708 | +6328 | |
D¶ | POC | 752 | 188 | 136 | 98.7 | – | 892546 | – | – |
NAAT | 921 | 19 | 199 | 80.4 | 18.3 | 782214 | −110332 | −6029 | |
E** | POC | 658 | 282 | 136 | 123.0 | – | 1079550 | – | – |
NAAT | 921 | 19 | 199 | 80.4 | 42.5 | 782214 | −297335 | −6996 |
NAAT strategy saves money per each additional case of PID averted, and POC strategy was dominated.
*A positive value indicates cost per case of PID averted, while a negative value indicates cost saved per case of PID averted. POC strategy saves money per each additional case of PID averted, and NAAT strategy was dominated.
†A: base-case scenario with sensitivity of POC=92.9%; 40 min waiting time (47.5% of women waited); cost of POC test=$33.48.
‡B: best-case scenario with sensitivity of POC=92.9%; 30 min waiting time (93.1% of women waited); cost of POC test=$20.
§C: scenario with sensitivity of POC=80%; 40 min waiting time (47.5% of women waited); cost of POC test=$20.
¶D: scenario with sensitivity of POC=80%; 60 min waiting time (28.0% of women waited); cost of POC test=$40.
**E: worst case scenario with sensitivity of POC=70%; 90 min waiting time (15.3% of women waited); cost of POC test=$50.
Ct, Chlamydia trachomatis; NAAT, nucleic acid amplification test; PID, pelvic inflammatory disease; POC, point-of-care.