Table 2

HSV-2 shedding and modifiers that influence live births in South Africa, 2010 (n=615)

Birth outcome UnadjustedMultivariable adjusted*
VariableLive born (N=538, 87.5%)Not live born (N=77, 12.5%)OR (95% CI) for adverse outcomep ValueOR (95% CI) for adverse outcomep Value
HSV-2 shedding: n (%)
 No486 (88)66 (12)1 (ref.)1 (ref.)
 Yes52 (82.5)11 (17.5)1.6 (0.8 to 3.1)0.211.3 (0.7 to 2.8)0.42
Age group: n (%)
 18–24287 (86.2)46 (13.8)1 (ref.)1 (ref.)
 25–34213 (89.1)26 (10.9)0.8 (0.5 to 1.3)0.300.6 (0.3 to 1.1)0.12
 35–4438 (88.4)5 (11.6)0.8 (0.3 to 2.2)0.690.5 (0.1 to 1.6)0.22
HIV-1: n (%)
 No342 (88.8)43 (11.2)1 (ref.)1 (ref.)
 Yes196 (85.2)34 (14.8)1.4 (0.9 to 2.2)0.191.3 (0.8 to 2.1)0.39
Gravidity: median (IQR)2 (1–2)2 (1–3)1.1 (0.9 to 1.3)0.551.2 (0.9 to 1.6)0.14
Socioeconomic status: n (%)
 Unknown13 (86.7)2 (13.3)0.9 (0.2 to 4.1)0.880.9 (0.2 to 4.5)0.92
 Low191 (85.3)33 (14.7)1 (ref.)1 (ref.)
 Medium229 (89.8)26 (10.2)0.7 (0.4 to 1.1)0.130.7 (0.4 to 1.3)0.26
 High105 (86.8)16 (13.2)0.9 (0.5 to 1.7)0.701 (0.5 to 1.9)0.99
Neisseria gonorrhoeae, n (%)†
 No501 (88.0)68 (12.0)1 (ref.)1 (ref.)
 Yes30 (76.9)9 (23.1)2.2 (1 to 4.9) 0.05 2.2 (1.0 to 4.9)0.05
Trichomonas vaginalis, n (%)†
 No457 (88.4)60 (11.6)1 (ref.)1 (ref.)
 Yes75 (82.4)16 (17.6)1.6 (0.9 to 3)0.121.6 (0.9 to 3)0.13
Chlamydia trachomatis, n (%)‡
 No429 (86.8)65 (13.2)1 (ref.)1 (ref.)
 Yes103 (89.6)12 (10.4)0.8 (0.4 to 1.5)0.430.7 (0.4 to 1.4)0.28
Treated for STIs
 No17 (94.5)1 (5.5)1 (ref.)
 Yes108 (93.9)7 (6.1)0.91 (0.11 to 7.74)0.69
 Same day36 (94.7)2 (5.3)1 (ref.)
 Subsequent visit72 (93.5)5 (6.5)1.25 (0.23 to 6.76)0.58
  • *Adjusted for age, gravidity, socioeconomic status, HIV-1, chlamydia, trichomonas and gonorrhoea.

  • †Seven subjects with unknown or missing results.

  • ‡Six subjects with unknown or missing data.

  • HSV-2, herpes simplex virus-2.