Table 3

HSV-2 shedding and modifiers that may influence preterm deliveries in South Africa, 2010 (n=574)*

Birth outcome Multivariable adjusted†
VariableTerm (N=415, 72.3%)Preterm (N=159, 27.7%)OR (95% CI) for adverse outcomep ValueOR (95% CI) for adverse outcomep Value
HSV-2 shedding: n (%)
 No372 (72.1)144 (27.9)1 (ref.)1 (ref.)
 Yes43 (74.1)15 (25.9)0.9 (0.5 to 1.7)0.740.9 (0.5 to 1.7)0.68
Age group: n (%)
 18–24216 (70.8)89 (29.2)1 (ref.)1 (ref.)
 25–34162 (71.7)64 (28.3)1 (0.7 to 1.4)0.830.9 (0.6 to 1.3)0.64
 35–4437 (86.0)6 (14.0)0.4 (0.2 to 1) 0.04 0.4 (0.2 to 0.9)0.04
HIV-1: n (%)
 No263 (73.1)97 (26.9)1 (ref.)1 (ref.)
 Yes152 (71.0)62 (29.0)1.1 (0.8 to 1.6)0.61.1 (0.7 to 1.6)0.69
Gravidity: median (IQR)2 (1–2)2 (1–2)0.9 (0.8 to 1.1)0.341 (0.8 to 1.2)0.93
Socioeconomic status: n (%)
 Unknown11 (78.6)3 (21.4)0.9 (0.2 to 4.1)0.880.8 (0.2 to 3.2)0.76
 Low150 (73.2)55 (26.8)1 (ref.)1 (ref.)
 Medium166 (68.3)77 (31.7)0.7 (0.4 to 1.1)0.131.3 (0.8 to 1.9)0.27
 High88 (78.6)24 (21.4)0.9 (0.5 to 1.7)0.700.7 (0.4 to 1.3)0.31
Neisseria gonorrhoeae, n (%)‡
 No390 (73.0)144 (27.0)1 (ref.)1 (ref.)
 Yes21 (61.8)13 (38.2)1.7 (0.8 to 3.4)0.161.7 (0.8 to 3.5)0.17
Trichomonas vaginalis.n (%)§
 No354 (72.7)133 (27.3)1 (ref.)1 (ref.)
 Yes58 (70.7)24 (29.3)1.1 (0.7 to 1.8)0.711.1 (0.7 to 1.9)0.67
Chlamydia trachomatis, n (%)§
 No334 (72)130 (28)1 (ref.)1 (ref.)
 Yes78 (74.3)27 (25.7)0.9 (0.5 to 1.4)0.630.8 (0.5 to 1.2)0.27
Treated for STIs
 No12 (66.7)6 (33.3)1 (ref.)
 Yes99 (86.8)15 (13.2)3.3 (1.08 to 10.12) 0.041†
 Same day68 (88.3)9 (11.7)1 (ref.)
 Subsequent visit31 (83.8)6 (16.2)1.46 (0.48 to 4.47)0.346
  • *36 women who were lost to follow-up, 77 pregnancies ending in stillbirths and 5 women for whom pregnancy outcomes were not available were excluded from this analysis.

  • †Adjusted for age, gravidity, socioeconomic status, HIV-1, chlamydia, trichomonas and gonorrhoea.

  • ‡Six Subjects with unknown or missing status.

  • §Five subjects with unknown or missing results.

  • HSV-2, herpes simplex virus-2.