Elsevier

Mathematical Biosciences

Volume 124, Issue 2, December 1994, Pages 181-205
Mathematical Biosciences

The basic reproduction ratio R0 for a sexually transmitted disease in pair formation model with two types of pairs

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Abstract

We study a model for pair formation and separation with two types of pairs which differ in average duration. A fraction ƒ of all newly formed pairs have a long duration (denoted by “steady”), the remaining fraction 1 - ƒ have a short duration (“casual”). This distinction is motivated by data about the survival times of partnerships in a sociological survey. In this population we consider a sexually transmitted disease, which can have different transmission rates in steady and in casual partnerships. We investigate under which conditions an epidemic can occur after introduction of the disease into a population where the process of pair formation and separation is at equilibrium. If there is no recovery we can compute an explicit expression for the basic reproduction ratio R0; if we take recovery into account we can derive a condition for the stability of the disease-free equilibrium which is equivalent to R0 < 1. We discuss how R0 depends on various model parameters.

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